Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005293 0.005586 0.005890 0.006228 0.006595 0.006982 0.007421
2026-01-25 0.004758 0.005182 0.005640 0.006175 0.006786 0.007467 0.008286
2026-02-01 0.004527 0.005038 0.005608 0.006298 0.007117 0.008066 0.009265
2026-02-08 0.004275 0.004835 0.005476 0.006271 0.007245 0.008412 0.009941
2026-02-15 0.004081 0.004680 0.005379 0.006267 0.007382 0.008759 0.010627
2026-02-22 0.003876 0.004494 0.005228 0.006179 0.007399 0.008944 0.011105
2026-03-01 0.003701 0.004334 0.005096 0.006100 0.007415 0.009119 0.011570
2026-03-08 0.003580 0.004232 0.005028 0.006095 0.007520 0.009410 0.012206
2026-03-15 0.003392 0.004036 0.004832 0.005911 0.007373 0.009347 0.012329
2026-03-22 0.003308 0.003969 0.004795 0.005932 0.007500 0.009662 0.013020
2026-03-29 0.003252 0.003933 0.004796 0.006000 0.007693 0.010078 0.013890
2026-04-05 0.003150 0.003834 0.004709 0.005944 0.007705 0.010232 0.014362
2026-04-12 0.003069 0.003760 0.004653 0.005930 0.007778 0.010481 0.015011
2026-04-19 0.002979 0.003671 0.004574 0.005879 0.007794 0.010645 0.015535
2026-04-26 0.002955 0.003670 0.004612 0.005994 0.008059 0.011203 0.016771
2026-05-03 0.002884 0.003601 0.004556 0.005969 0.008111 0.011429 0.017447
2026-05-10 0.002825 0.003546 0.004515 0.005965 0.008192 0.011704 0.018235
2026-05-17 0.002743 0.003458 0.004424 0.005883 0.008147 0.011769 0.018638
2026-05-24 0.002668 0.003377 0.004342 0.005810 0.008112 0.011845 0.019067
2026-05-31 0.002619 0.003331 0.004306 0.005805 0.008185 0.012108 0.019880
2026-06-07 0.002520 0.003213 0.004164 0.005634 0.007980 0.011880 0.019696
2026-06-14 0.002484 0.003182 0.004148 0.005653 0.008087 0.012201 0.020655
2026-06-21 0.002464 0.003171 0.004160 0.005717 0.008270 0.012667 0.021966